{"id":821,"date":"2022-11-25T07:14:22","date_gmt":"2022-11-25T07:14:22","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/rayaffee.com\/?p=821"},"modified":"2022-12-19T02:42:38","modified_gmt":"2022-12-19T02:42:38","slug":"a-comparative-forecast-evaluation-of-the-trajectories-of-post-chornobyl-nuclear-accident-psycho-social-sequelae","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/rayaffee.com\/?p=821","title":{"rendered":"A Comparative Forecast Evaluation of the Trajectories of post-Chornobyl nuclear accident psycho-social sequelae"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">by<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Robert Alan Yaffee and Monnie McGee<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">2018 International Symposium on Forecasting<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">University of Colorado at Boulder<\/p>\n\n\n\n<div data-wp-interactive=\"core\/file\" class=\"wp-block-file\"><object data-wp-bind--hidden=\"!state.hasPdfPreview\" hidden class=\"wp-block-file__embed\" data=\"https:\/\/rayaffee.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/11\/Yaffee_Robert_McGee_monnie_ISF2018.pdf\" type=\"application\/pdf\" style=\"width:100%;height:600px\" aria-label=\"Embed of Yaffee_Robert_McGee_monnie_ISF2018.pdf.\"><\/object><a id=\"wp-block-file--media-7c8dbf23-325e-420a-baf5-12e3843871ed\" href=\"https:\/\/rayaffee.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/11\/Yaffee_Robert_McGee_monnie_ISF2018.pdf\">Yaffee_Robert_McGee_monnie_ISF2018.pdf<\/a><a href=\"https:\/\/rayaffee.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/11\/Yaffee_Robert_McGee_monnie_ISF2018.pdf\" class=\"wp-block-file__button wp-element-button\" download aria-describedby=\"wp-block-file--media-7c8dbf23-325e-420a-baf5-12e3843871ed\">Download<\/a><\/div>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>Keywords: Forecast Evaluation, Post-nuclear accident psychosocial sequelae<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>NB:  Because of the comorbidity of depression and anxiety in the population and the high correlation between them, the optimal method of assessment and prediction was deemed to be the multivariate state space model rather than any univariate model.   The multivariate model could accommodate their high intercorrelation with minimum bias.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>by Robert Alan Yaffee and Monnie McGee 2018 International Symposium on Forecasting University of Colorado at Boulder<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":3,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_monsterinsights_skip_tracking":false,"_jetpack_newsletter_access":"","_jetpack_dont_email_post_to_subs":false,"_jetpack_newsletter_tier_id":0,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paywalled_content":false,"_jetpack_feature_clip_id":0,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paid_content":false,"footnotes":"","jetpack_post_was_ever_published":false},"categories":[11,22,12],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-821","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-chernobyl-psychosocial-sequelae","category-forecasting","category-methodological-enhancement","entry"],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v28.7 - 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