A Comparative Forecast Evaluation of the Trajectories of post-Chornobyl nuclear accident psycho-social sequelae


Robert Alan Yaffee and Monnie McGee

2018 International Symposium on Forecasting

University of Colorado at Boulder

  • Keywords: Forecast Evaluation, Post-nuclear accident psychosocial sequelae
  • NB: Because of the comorbidity of depression and anxiety in the population and the high correlation between them, the optimal method of assessment and prediction was deemed to be the multivariate state space model rather than any univariate model. The multivariate model could accommodate their high intercorrelation with minimum bias.

By ray-admin

Former Senior Research Scientist, NSF Grant HSD 0826983 Former Research Professor/Research Scientist, Silver School of Social Work New York University Former Associate Research Scientist Division of Sociomedical Sciences Columbia University School of Public Health Former Research Scientist Department of Geriatric Psychiatry Downstate Medical Center Former Assistant Professor of Sociology Hunter College Former Lecturer of Statistical Packages Hunter College Computer Science Dept.

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